by Jonathon Van Maren, The Bridgehead
If demographics is destiny – and there is good reason to believe that it is – the future does not belong to the West. According to new research, in 2026, only 8 percent of global births will be in Europe, North America, or Oceania (Australia, New Zealand, and a handful of smaller countries).
Conversely, 85 percent of babies this year will be born in Africa and Asia. According to U.N. numbers, 49 percent of the world’s babies will be born in Asia, 36 percent in Africa, and 7 percent in Latin America and the Caribbean. North America will see only 3 percent of the world’s babies born in 2026; Europe, 5 percent; Oceania, less than 1 percent.
“Asia is expected to see about 64.9 million births in 2026, accounting for roughly 49% of all births worldwide,” The Visual Capitalist noted last month. “Despite declining fertility rates in countries like China, Japan, and South Korea, Asia’s sheer population size keeps it at the center of global demographics.”
North America is set to see a mere 4 million births: Europe, 5 million. Africa is projected to see over 47 million births despite decades of Western neo-colonialist efforts to bring the African birthrate down with the promotion of contraceptives and abortion.
The collapse of the birthrate in the West is already having catastrophic effects. Nationalists attempting to seize back control of their country from the elites frequently talk about the “Great Replacement” – the replacement of the indigenous populations of Europe by migrants and immigrants from other countries. The fact that these newcomers are often Muslim leads to predictable (yet somehow unpredicted) problems.
But this “Great Replacement” is, in many ways, the predictable result of the West’s deliberate destruction and subsequent abandonment of the traditional family structure post-Sexual Revolution. It is not the migrants who stopped English and French families from having children. It is not the immigrants who drove the Dutch and the Belgians from their churches. The Western patrimony was not stolen; it was abandoned.